不能 赚钱 的 股票 就要 割肉 ；不能 爱 的人 就要 分手 ；不会 做 的 题 就要 跳过 ；李永乐 老师 讲 经济学 原理 沉没成本 （2018 最新 ） cannot|make money|attributive marker|stock|must|cut losses|cannot|love|person|must|break up|cannot|do|attributive marker|question|must|skip|Li Yongle|teacher|teach|economics|principles|sunk cost|latest Wenn du kein Geld verdienen kannst, musst du das Fleisch schneiden, wenn du nicht lieben kannst, musst du Schluss machen, wenn du es nicht kannst, musst du es auslassen, Herr Li Yongle spricht über ökonomische Prinzipien und versunkene Kosten (zuletzt 2018) Stocks that can't make money should be cut; relationships that can't be loved should be ended; questions that can't be solved should be skipped; Teacher Li Yongle talks about the economic principle of sunk cost (latest 2018).

各位 同学 大家 好 我 是 李永乐 老师 everyone|students|everyone|good|I|am|Li Yongle|teacher Hello everyone, I am Teacher Li Yongle.

2018 年 高考 就要 来 了 year|college entrance examination|is about to|come|emphasis marker The 2018 college entrance examination is coming.

今天 我们 继续 为 考生 加油 点赞 today|we|continue|for|candidates|cheer on|give likes Today, we continue to cheer for the candidates.

有 同学 问 我 说 万一 他 在 考场 上 遇到 了 一道 题 there is|classmate|ask|me|say|in case|he|at|exam room|on|encounter|past tense marker|one|question A classmate asked me what to do if he encounters a question in the exam room.

他 做 了 半天 发现 还是 不会 做 he|do|past tense marker|half a day|discover|still|cannot|do He has been working on it for a long time and still can't solve it.

这个 时候 他 是 应该 继续 做 下去 this|time|he|is|should|continue|do|on At this point, should he continue to work on it,

还是 应该 果断 放弃 still|should|decisively|give up Sollte noch entschlossen aufgeben or should he decisively give up?

今天 我们 来 讨论 一下 这个 问题 today|we|come|discuss|a bit|this|problem Today, we will discuss this issue.

这个 问题 和 经济 上 一个 概念 叫做 沉没 成本 非常 像 this|problem|and|economy|on|one|concept|called|sunk|cost|very|similar to This issue is very similar to a concept in economics called sunk cost.

沉没 成本 sunk|cost Sunk cost.

什么 叫 沉没 成本 what|is called|sunk|cost What is meant by sunk cost?

沉没 成本 就是指 已经 付出 而且 不可 回收 的 成本 ||||sunk cost||irrecoverable|recoverable|| Sunk cost refers to the cost that has already been incurred and cannot be recovered.

这个 就 叫 沉没 成本 this|just|called|sunk|cost Dies nennt man versunkene Kosten This is called sunk cost.

举个 例子 你 买 了 一张 电影票 花 了 一百块 钱 give a|example|you|bought|past tense marker|one|movie ticket|spent|past tense marker|one hundred yuan|money Zum Beispiel haben Sie eine Kinokarte für hundert Yuan gekauft For example, you bought a movie ticket and spent one hundred yuan.

那么 如果 这个 电影票 不能 退 then|if|this|movie ticket|cannot|refund So, if this movie ticket cannot be refunded,

这 一百块 钱 就是 你 的 沉没 成本 this|one hundred yuan|money|is|your|attributive marker|sunk|cost This one hundred yuan is your sunk cost.

如果 这个 票 可以 退 但是 只能 退 80% if|this|ticket|can|refund|but|can only|refund If this ticket can be refunded, but only 80% can be refunded.

那 那 20 块钱 就是 你 的 沉没 成本 ||||||sunk| Then that 20 yuan is your sunk cost.

那么 现在 我们 假设 有 这样 一个 场景 then|now|we|assume|have|such|one|scene Now, let's assume we have such a scenario.

就是 你 买 了 一张 票 一百元 just|you|buy|past tense marker|one|ticket|one hundred yuan You bought a ticket for one hundred yuan.

结果 你 去 看 了 看 了 之后 result|you|go|see|past tense marker|see|past tense marker|after As a result, you went to see it.

发现 这个 电影 它 不 好看 不 合口味 discover|this|movie|it|not|good-looking|not|to one's taste After watching, you found that the movie was not good and not to your taste.

那么 你 会 如何 进行 选择 then|you|will|how|carry out|choice So, how would you make a choice?

你 有 两种 决策 you|have|two kinds|decisions You have two options for decision-making.

第一种 决策 就是 你 继续 看 对 吧 坚持 看 完 first type|decision-making|is|you|continue|watch|right|suggestion marker|insist|watch|finish The first option is to continue watching, right? Keep watching until the end.

第二种 决策 就是 你 不 看 了 你 走 人 second|decision|is|you|not|look|emphasis marker|you|leave|people The second option is to stop watching and leave.

大家 可以 思考 一下 如果 是 你 你 会 怎么 进行 选择 Everyone can think about it for a moment. If it were you, how would you choose?

可能 有 的 人 吧 会 坚持 看 完 为什么 possibly|there are|attributive marker|people|suggestion marker|might|insist|watch|finish|why Maybe some people will insist on watching it to the end, why?

就算 不 好看 他 也 觉得 我 这个 票 是 花 一百块 钱 买 的 even if|not|good-looking|he|also|think|I|this|ticket|is|spend|one hundred yuan|money|buy|attributive marker Even if it's not good, they still think, 'I paid a hundred bucks for this ticket.'

我 不 看 我 就 浪费 了 所以 我 得 把 它 看 完 对 不 对 I|not|watch|I|then|waste|emphasis marker|so|I|have to|emphasis marker|it|watch|finish|right|not|right If I don't watch it, I'm wasting it, so I have to watch it to the end, right?

看 完 之后 把 自己 恶心 够呛 一边 走 一边 骂 是 吧 to see|finish|after|emphasis marker|oneself|disgusted|extremely|while|walk|while|curse|is|suggestion marker After watching it, I feel disgusted and curse while walking, right?

另外 一些 人 它 不 好看 他 就 走 了 additionally|some|people|it|not|good-looking|he|then|left|past tense marker Some other people, if they don't look good, just leave.

他 说 我 没有 必要 为了 这 一百块 钱 我 再 浪费 两个 小时 he|said|I|do not have|necessity|for the sake of|this|one hundred yuan|money|I|again|waste|two|hours He said, I don't need to waste another two hours for this hundred dollars.

这 两个 小时 还 得 恶心 我 所以 我 应该 走 this|two|hours|still|have to|nauseous|I|so|I|should|go These two hours would also be disgusting for me, so I should leave.

那么 从 经济学 上 讲 哪 一种 人 更 理性 then|from|economics|on|talk|which|one type|person|more|rational So, from an economic perspective, which type of person is more rational?

第二种 人 更 理性 second type|person|more|rational The second type of person is more rational.

经济学 上 是 这样 说 的 economics|on|is|this way|say|attributive marker Economics says it this way.

就是 在 决策 的 时候 just|at|decision-making|attributive marker|time That is, when making decisions.

在 做 决策 的 时候 at|make|decision|attributive marker|time When making decisions.

不 应 考虑 沉没 成本 not|should|consider|sunk|cost Do not consider sunk costs.

就是说 你 这 一百块 钱 你 已经 花 出去 了 That is to say, the one hundred dollars you have already spent.

你 看 与 不 看 它 都 怎么样 它 都 是 拿 不 回来 了 you|look|and|not|look|it|all|how|it|all|is|take|not|come back|emphasis marker Whether you look at it or not, it cannot be recovered.

那么 此时 你 做 决策 时 应该 想 then|at this time|you|make|decision|time|should|think At this point, you should think about this when making decisions.

这个 钱 咱们 就 拿 不 回来 了 我们 不管 了 this|money|we|just|take|not|come back|emphasis marker|we|no matter|emphasis marker This money we won't get back, let's not worry about it.

我们 就 假设 这票 不是 我 花钱买 的 这票 是 白来 的 ||||||||||free| Let's assume this ticket is not bought with my money, this ticket is free.

这个 票 是 免费 的 this|ticket|is|free|attributive marker This ticket is free.

我们 想 一想 这 票 白 给 你 电影院 搞 活动 免费 看 电影 we|want|think about|this|ticket|for free|give|you|cinema|hold|event|free|watch|movie Let's think about it, this ticket is given to you for free by the cinema as part of a promotion to watch a movie.

对 吧 试 看 correct|suggestion marker|try|see Right? Let's give it a try.

进去 之后 一看 不 好看 那 我 问 你 你 会 怎么样 Once you go in and see that it's not good looking, what will you do?

你 是 会 看 完 还是 会 走 人 you|are|can|watch|finish|or|will|leave|people Will you watch it till the end or will you leave?

这个 是 我 想 99% 的 人 都 会 说 this|is|I|want|attributive marker|people|all|will|say I think 99% of people would say...

那 不 好看 我 还 看 什么 我 走 了 对 不 对 that|not|good-looking|I|still|watch|what|I|leave|emphasis marker|right|not|right If it's not good-looking, what else can I watch? I'm leaving, right?

因为 是 免费 的 所以 大家 就 可以 想 because|is|free|attributive marker|so|everyone|then|can|think Because it's free, everyone can think about it.

好看 我 就 看 完 不 好看 我 就 走 人 good-looking|I|then|watch|finish|not|good-looking|I|then|leave|person If it's good-looking, I'll finish watching it; if it's not good-looking, I'll just leave.

现在 是 收费 的 但是 这个 钱 你 已经 拿 不 回来 了 now|is|charged|attributive marker|but|this|money|you|already|take|not|back|emphasis marker Now it's paid, but you can't get that money back.

那 和 免费 又 有 什么 区别 呢 that|and|free|again|have|what|difference|emphasis marker So what is the difference between that and free?

这个 成本 我们 就 称之为 沉没 成本 this|cost|we|just|call it|sunk|cost We call this cost a sunk cost.

我们 在 进行 决策 的 时候 是 不 应该 考虑 这个 沉没 成本 的 we|at|make|decisions|attributive marker|time|is|not|should|consider|this|sunk|cost|attributive marker When we make decisions, we should not consider this sunk cost.

那么 我们 回过头来 看 一下 考试 then|we|turn back|look|at once|exam Now let's look back at the exam.

假如 说 有 一个 同学 在 考场 上 他 开始 做题 了 if|say|there is|one|classmate|at|exam room|on|he|start|do questions|past tense marker Suppose there is a classmate who starts doing questions in the exam room.

做到 一道 题 之后 很 难 是 吧 complete|one|question|after|very|difficult|is|tag question marker After doing one question, it is quite difficult, right?

他 要 做题 做 了 题 发现 做 了 十分钟 he|want|do questions|do|past tense marker|questions|found|do|past tense marker|ten minutes He has been working on the question for ten minutes.

结果 这个 题 毫无 头绪 result|this|question|completely without|clue As a result, he has no clue about this question.

发现 原来 它 是 一个 难题 discover|originally|it|is|one|difficult problem It turns out that it is a difficult problem.

这个 题 很 难 做 了 做 十分钟 都 没有 做 出来 this|question|very|difficult|do|emphasis marker|do|ten minutes|at all|not|do|out This problem is very hard; I have been working on it for ten minutes and still haven't solved it.

那 此时 我们 该 怎么办 that|at this time|we|should|do what So what should we do at this point?

两种 决策 two types|decision-making Two types of decisions.

第一种 决策 是 我们 再 做 十分钟 first type|decision|is|we|again|do|ten minutes The first decision is to work on it for another ten minutes.

因为 我们 已经 知道 这道题 是 个 难题 了 because|we|already|know|this question|is|a|difficult question|emphasis marker Because we already know that this problem is a difficult one.

再 做 十分钟 依然 会 出现 两种 可能 again|do|ten minutes|still|will|appear|two kinds|possibilities Working on it for another ten minutes will still result in two possibilities.

有 90% 的 可能 你 还是 做 不 出来 于是 你 就 得 零分 have|attributive marker|possibility|you|still|do|not|come out|so|you|then|get|zero points There is a 90% chance that you still won't be able to solve it, so you will get a zero.

有 10% 的 可能 你 再 做 十分钟 做 出来 了 你 得 了 十分 have|attributive marker|possibility|you|again|do|ten minutes|do|out|past tense marker|you|get|emphasis marker|ten points There is a 10% chance that if you work for another ten minutes, you will achieve a score of ten.

这是 一种 可能 对 吧 This is a possibility, right?

你 还有 一种 决策 you|still have|one kind of|decision You have another decision.

这种 决策 就是 做下 一题 this kind of|decision|is|make|one question This decision is to solve the next question.

因为 我们 知道 下一题 很 有 可能 是 个 简单 题 为啥 because|we|know|next question|very|have|possibility|is|a|simple|question|why Because we know the next question is very likely to be a simple one, why?

你 比如说 选择 最后 一道 题 是 个 难题 you|for example|choose|last|one|question|is|a|difficult question For example, if you choose the last question, it is a difficult one.

但是 下 一道 题 就是 填空 第一 题 就 简单 了 对 不 对 but|next|one|question|is|fill in the blanks|first|question|just|simple|emphasis marker|correct|not|correct But the next question is a fill-in-the-blank, the first question is simple, right?

做下 一题 有 可能 是 这样 的 do|one question|there is|possibly|is|this way|attributive marker The next question could be like this.

你 有 90% 的 可能 你 可以 得 十分 因为 它 简单 you|have|attributive marker|possibility|you|can|get|full marks|because|it|simple You have a 90% chance that you can score ten points because it is simple.

你 有 10% 的 可能 你 会 得 零分 得 不 出来 you|have|attributive marker|possibility|you|will|get|zero points|get|not|come out Sie haben eine 10% ige Chance, dass Sie null Punkte erhalten und diese nicht erhalten You have a 10% chance that you will score zero points and cannot come up with an answer.

好 了 那么 你 说 你 会 如何 选择 呢 good|emphasis marker|then|you|say|you|will|how|choose|question marker Alright, then how do you say you would choose?

在 这种 情况 下 有 的 同学 就 想到 了 in|this kind of|situation|under|there are|attributive marker|classmates|then|think of|past tense marker In this situation, some students have thought of it.

我 已经 做 了 十分钟 了 对 吧 I|already|do|emphasis marker|ten minutes|emphasis marker|right|tag question marker I have been doing it for ten minutes, right?

我要 不 坚持 把 它 做 完 的话 那 我 就 亏了 十分钟 浪费 了 I want|not|insist|on|it|do|finish|if|then|I|just|lost|ten minutes|wasted|emphasis marker If I don't persist and finish it, then I will have wasted ten minutes.

所以 我 还是 要 再 做 十分钟 so|I|still|need|again|do|ten minutes So I still need to do it for another ten minutes.

也 有 的 同学 可能 想 我 做 下 一题 吧 also|have|attributive marker|classmates|possibly|want|me|do|next|one question|suggestion marker Some classmates might want me to move on to the next question.

哪 一种 才 是 理性 的 which|kind|only|is|rational|attributive marker Which one is rational?

第二种 second type The second one.

从 经济学 上 讲 我们 不 应该 去 考虑 我们 之前 那 十分钟 from|economics|on|speak|we|not|should|go|consider|we|before|that|ten minutes From an economic perspective, we should not consider those ten minutes we had before.

因为 它 已经 沉没 了 对 吧 because|it|already|sunk|emphasis marker|right|tag question marker Because it has already sunk, right?

所以 我们 应该 这么 想 so|we|should|this way|think So we should think like this.

就是 现在 我 没有 做 任何 的 题 just|now|I|do not have|do|any|attributive marker|questions That is, right now I haven't done any questions.

没有 花 任何 的 时间 就 监考 老师 来 告诉 我 no|spend|any|attributive marker|time|then|proctor|teacher|come|tell|me I haven't spent any time when the proctor came to tell me.

告诉 你 这道题 它 是 个 难题 tell|you|this question|it|is|a|difficult question Telling you this question is a difficult one.

我 已知 这个 题 是 个 难题 I|known|this|question|is|a|difficult question I know this question is a difficult one.

然后 我 没有 花 任何 时间 我 就 获得 了 这个 信息 then|I|did not|spend|any|time|I|just|obtain|past tense marker|this|information Then I didn't spend any time and I got this information.

如果 我 做 十分钟 这个 题 的话 if|I|do|ten minutes|this|question|if If I spend ten minutes on this question,

有 90% 的 可能 得 零分 有 10% 的 可能 得 十分 have|attributive marker|possibility|get|zero points|have|attributive marker|possibility|get|ten points there's a 90% chance I'll score zero and a 10% chance I'll score ten.

我 也 可以 先 做 下 一个 题 I|also|can|first|do|next|one|question I can also do the next question first.

最后 有 时间 我 再 回来 看 它 对 吧 finally|have|time|I|again|come back|see|it|right|suggestion marker If there's time at the end, I'll come back to look at it, right?

先 做 下 一 题 的话 有 90% 可能 得 十分 first|do|next|one|question|if|there is|possibility|get|full marks If I do the next question first, there's a 90% chance I'll get ten points.

10% 的 可能 得 零分 你 说 我会 怎么办 There's a 10% chance I'll get zero points; what do you think I will do?

我 肯定 会 先 做 下 一题 对 不 对 I|definitely|will|first|do|next|one question|correct|not|correct I will definitely do the next question first, right?

如果 人家 告诉 你 这个 题 是 难题 你 就 会 把 它 跳过去 if|someone|tell|you|this|question|is|difficult question|you|then|will|put|it|skip over If someone tells you that this question is difficult, you will just skip it.

如果 没有 人 告诉 你 自己 花 了 十分钟 你 还是 要 把 它 跳过去 if|not have|person|tell|you|oneself|spend|past tense marker|ten minutes|you|still|need|to|it|skip over If no one tells you and you spend ten minutes on it, you will still skip it.

因为 这 十分钟 已经 花 出去 了 because|this|ten minutes|already|spent|out|emphasis marker Because those ten minutes have already been spent.

是 你 沉没 成本 你 已经 收 不 回来 了 is|you|sunk|cost|you|already|recover|not|back|emphasis marker It is your sunk cost that you can no longer recover.

其实 在 考试 中 没有 运用 这个 道理 actually|in|exam|during|not|apply|this|principle In fact, this principle is not applied in exams.

犯 了 错误 的 同学 非常 多 make|past tense marker|mistakes|attributive marker|classmates|very|many There are many students who made mistakes.

尤其 是 一些 好 同学 especially|is|some|good|classmates Especially some good students.

这个 学习 比较 差 的 同学 this|study|relatively|poor|attributive marker|classmate Dieser arme Student This student who is not doing well in their studies.

反正 我 做 不 出来 题 我 就 跳 嘛 这 很 正常 anyway|I|do|not|out|questions|I|just|skip|emphasis marker|this|very|normal Wie auch immer, ich kann es nicht tun, also springe ich einfach. Es ist normal Anyway, if I can't solve the problems, I just skip them, which is very normal.

但是 好 同学 总 觉得 我 不 应该 有 做 不 出来 的 题 对 不 对 but|good|classmates|always|feel|I|not|should|have|do|not|come out|attributive marker|questions|right|not|right But good students always think I shouldn't have problems I can't solve, right?

比如 以前 我 有 个 学生 这个 物理学 的 特别 好 for example|before|I|have|one|student|this|physics|attributive marker|especially|good For example, I used to have a student who was particularly good at physics.

参加 竞赛 的 时候 有 一道 难题 第二 题 就 非常 难 participate|competition|attributive marker|time|there is|one|difficult question|second|question|emphasis marker|very|difficult When participating in the competition, there was a very difficult problem, the second question was extremely hard.

计算 量 非常 大 calculation|amount|very|large The amount of calculation was very large.

大部分 同学 90% 以上 的 同学 这道题 根本 就 不会 most|students|above|attributive marker|students|this question|at all|just|cannot solve Most students, over 90%, couldn't solve this problem at all.

一步 都 做 不 出来 one step|at all|do|not|come out They couldn't make any progress.

他 就 想 我 学 的 这么 好 我 就 应该 能 把 它 做 出来 he|just|want|I|study|attributive marker|this|well|I|then|should|be able to|to|it|do|out He thought that since I learned it so well, I should be able to do it.

结果 花 了 大量 的 时间 来 做 这个 题 result|spend|past tense marker|a large amount of|attributive marker|time|to|do|this|question As a result, I spent a lot of time on this problem.

最后 结果 呢 人家 那 最后 一道 题 非常 简单 last|result|emphasis marker|others|that|last|one|question|very|easy Das Endergebnis ist, dass die letzte Frage sehr einfach ist In the end, the last question was very simple.

90% 的 人 都 做 出来 了 他 没有 时间 去 做 了 90% der Leute haben es getan, er hat keine Zeit dafür 90% of the people solved it, but he didn't have time to do it.

结果 就 因为 这个 原因 他 没有 考好 result|just|because|this|reason|he|did not|do well in the exam As a result, he did not perform well in the exam because of this reason.

没有 获得 自己 理想 的 成绩 not|obtain|own|ideal|attributive marker|grades He did not achieve the grades he desired.

这种 错误 我们 千万 不能 在 考场 上 犯 this kind of|mistake|we|absolutely|must not|in|exam room|on|make Wir dürfen solche Fehler nicht im Untersuchungsraum machen This kind of mistake must not be made in the examination room.

其实 类似 的 事 在 生活中 非常 多 不仅仅 是 考试 actually|similar|attributive marker|things|in|life|very|many|not only|is|exams In fact, similar things happen very often in life, not just in exams.

比如 我们 再 来 说 一个 让 人 捉摸 不透 的 东西 for example|we|again|come|talk|one|make|people|grasp|incomprehensible|attributive marker|thing For example, let's talk about something that is hard to grasp.

爱情 love Love.

说 爱情 这 东西 还 让 人 琢磨不透 say|love|this|thing|still|make|people|hard to fathom They say that love is something that is still hard to figure out.

但是 我们 可以 在 决策 的 时候 but|we|can|at|decision-making|attributive marker|time But we can make decisions when it comes to it.

也 利用 这 经济学 的 原理 来 进行 分析 also|utilize|this|economics|attributive marker|principle|to|conduct|analysis Also use the principles of economics to conduct analysis.

比如说 有 一个 男人 for example|there is|one|man For example, there is a man.

这个 男人 他 追求 一个 女人 this|man|he|pursues|one|woman This man is pursuing a woman.

追求 一个 女人 他 花 了 很多 钱 他 花 了 100 万 pursue|one|woman|he|spend|past tense marker|a lot of|money|he|spend|past tense marker|one million In pursuing a woman, he spent a lot of money, he spent 1 million.

然后 又 花 了 三年 的 时间 去 追求 这个 女人 then|again|spend|past tense marker|three years|attributive marker|time|to|pursue|this|woman Then he spent another three years pursuing this woman.

结果 发现 这个 女人 总 跟 他 吵架 result|discover|this|woman|always|with|him|argue As a result, he found that this woman was always arguing with him.

两个 人 也 不能 好好 在 一起 two|people|also|cannot|well|together|together The two of them couldn't get along well together.

于是 他 就 想 我 该 怎么办 so|he|then|think|I|should|do So he thought, what should I do?

两种 选择 two kinds|choice Two choices

第一种 选择 他 可以 再 追 三年 再 花 100 万 first option|choose|he|can|again|pursue|three years|again|spend|one million The first choice is that he can pursue for another three years and spend 1 million.

那么 你 继续 追 这个 女人 的话 then|you|continue|pursue|this|woman|if you say So if you continue to pursue this woman,

有 可能 有 90% 的 可能 have|possibility|there is|attributive marker|possibility there is a possibility of 90%.

因为 你 已经 知道 这 是 你 俩 不 合适 所以 还是 要 分手 的 because|you|already|know|this|is|you|both|not|suitable|so|still|need|break up|emphasis marker Because you already know that this is not suitable for both of you, so you still have to break up.

那么 还有 10% 的 可能 so|still|attributive marker|possibility Then there is still a 10% possibility.

你们 可能 会 结婚 you|might|will|get married You might get married.

可能 会 获得 一个 很 好 的 结果 对 吧 possibly|will|obtain|one|very|good|attributive marker|result|right|tag question marker You might achieve a very good outcome, right?

好 当然 还有 另外 一种 可能 就 果断 走 人 直接 分手 good|of course|there is also|another|one kind|possibility|then|decisively|leave|person|directly|break up Well, of course, there is another possibility, which is to decisively walk away and break up.

直接 分手 你 不 需要 再 花 100 万 了 directly|break up|you|not|need|again|spend|one million|emphasis marker If you break up directly, you don't need to spend another million.

此时 大家 想过 吗 哪 一种 才 是 理性 的 at this time|everyone|thought about|question marker|which|one kind|only|is|rational|attributive marker At this point, have we all thought about which option is more rational?

我们 大部分 人 可能 都 会 总是 不 舍得 放弃 因为 什么 we|most|people|may|all|will|always|not|willing to part with|give up|because|what Most of us might always be reluctant to give up, because of what.

因为 我们 觉得 我们 已经 花 了 这么 多 钱 这么 多 时间 了 because|we|feel|we|already|spend|emphasis marker|so|much|money|so|much|time|emphasis marker Because we feel that we have already spent so much money and so much time.

我 要 放弃 了 我 不 就 浪费 了 嘛 I|want|give up|emphasis marker|I|not|just|waste|emphasis marker|emphasis marker If I give up, wouldn't that be a waste?

但是 作为 一个 理性 的人 我们 不 应该 考虑 这件 事 but|as|a|rational|person|we|not|should|consider|this|matter However, as a rational person, we should not consider this matter.

你 应该 说 你 这个 钱 和 时间 都 已经 沉没 了 you|should|say|you|this|money|and|time|both|already|sunk|emphasis marker You should say that this money and time have already been sunk.

你 当 它 不 存在 you|treat|it|not|exist You treat it as if it doesn't exist.

你 就是 本来 你 一 上来 你 就 知道 这个 已知 不 合适 you|just|originally|you|one|come up|you|just|know|this|known|not|suitable You just know from the beginning that this known situation is not suitable.

你 就 已知 这个 女人 她 不 合适 不 适合 你 you|just|known|this|woman|she|not|suitable|not|fit|you You know that this woman is not suitable for you.

那么 此时 你 有 两种 决策 then|at this time|you|have|two kinds of|decisions At this point, you have two options.

要不然 用 100 万 3 年 的 时间 去 追 她 otherwise|use|1 million|3 years|attributive marker|time|to|chase|her Otherwise, spend 1 million over 3 years to pursue her.

有 90% 的 可能 分手 have|attributive marker|possibility|break up There is a 90% chance of breaking up.

还有 不然 你 给 我 果断 你 换 别人 still|otherwise|you|give|me|decisively|you|change|others Oder Sie können jemand anderen entscheidend ändern Otherwise, you decisively change to someone else.

那 你 想 会 怎么 做 that|you|want|can|how|do So what do you think you will do?

那 只要 是 个 正常人 都 不会 选择 上面 这 一条 对 不 对 that|as long as|is|a|normal person|all|will not|choose|above|this|one option|right|not|right Then, any normal person would not choose the above option, right?

我们 必须 学会 认清 沉没 成本 we|must|learn to|recognize|sunk|cost Wir müssen lernen, versunkene Kosten zu erkennen We must learn to recognize sunk costs.

你 花 出去 的 时间 和 钱 已经 沉没 了 不要 去 考虑 它 you|spend|outside|attributive marker|time|and|money|already|sunk|past tense marker|do not|go to|consider|it The time and money you have spent are already sunk; do not consider them.

当 这件 事是 白来 的 |||Bai Lai| When this matter comes for free.

我 问 你 还 是否 要 继续 I|ask|you|still|whether|want|continue I ask you if you still want to continue.

用 这种 办法 来 进行 判断 不要 用 沉没 成本 来 干扰 你 的 决策 use|this kind of|method|to|carry out|judgment|do not|use|sunk|cost|to|interfere|your|attributive marker|decision Do not use this method to make judgments; do not let sunk costs interfere with your decisions.

除了 爱情 以外 伤 我们 最深 的 还有 一个 叫做 股票 apart from|love|outside of|hurt|us|deepest|attributive marker|also have|one|called|stocks Besides love, the thing that hurts us the most is something called stocks.

股票 按说 有涨 有 跌 有 亏 有 赚 不 应该 亏 的 特别 多 |should|has risen|||||||||||| Stocks should have ups and downs, losses and gains; they shouldn't have particularly high losses.

那 为什么 有些 人 会 亏 到 倾家荡产 的 程度 呢 that|why|some|people|can|lose|to|lose everything|attributive marker|extent|emphasis marker So why do some people lose everything to the point of bankruptcy?

因为 他 每当 套住 了 一只 股票 之后 就 拼命 的 追加 投资 because|he|whenever|get stuck|past tense marker|one|stock|after|then|desperately|attributive marker|add|investment Because every time they get stuck in a stock, they desperately invest more.

他 希望 这支 股票 还 能 回本 he|hope|this|stock|still|can|break even They hope that this stock can still break even.

这 是不是 理性 的 呢 this|is or not|rationality|attributive marker|emphasis marker Is this rational?

我们 看 假如 我们 有 一个 人 we|look|if|we|have|one|person Let's say we have a person.

比如说 A 吧 他 买入 了 一只 股票 for example|A|emphasis marker|he|bought|past tense marker|one|stock For example, let's say A, he bought a stock.

买入 了 这个 股票 买入 了 100 万 买入 了 B股 buy in|past tense marker|this|stock|buy in|past tense marker|1 million|buy in|past tense marker|B shares He bought this stock, he bought 1 million, he bought B stock.

买入 了 之后 这个 B 公司 经营 不善 buy in|past tense marker|after|this|||operate|poorly After buying, this B company is not doing well.

所以 它 这个 股票 价格 持续 下跌 so|it|this|stock|price|continuously|fall So its stock price continues to fall.

持续 价格 下跌 发生 了 亏损 continuous|price|decline|happen|past tense marker|loss Continuous price decline has resulted in losses.

于是 他 就 面临 两种 决策 so|he|then|face|two kinds of|decisions Thus, he faces two types of decisions.

第一种 决策 就是 什么 就是 追加 投资 或者 是 持仓 不 动 first type|decision|is|what|is|additional|investment|or|is|position|not|move The first decision is whether to add more investment or to hold the position steady.

追加 了 之后 他 还是 知道 因为 这个 公司 经营 不善 add|emphasis marker|after|he|still|know|because|this|company|operate|poorly After the addition, he still knows that this company is poorly managed.

所以 怎么办 所以 他 有 90% 的 可能 会 继续 亏损 so|what to do|so|he|has|attributive marker|possibility|will|continue|losses So what to do? He has a 90% chance of continuing to incur losses.

而且 亏损 的 越来越 多 moreover|losses|attributive marker|more and more|many Moreover, the losses are increasing.

也 有 10% 的 可能 会 盈利 会 回本 甚至 盈利 also|have|attributive marker|possibility|will|profit|can|break even|even|profit Es besteht auch eine 10% ige Chance, dass es rentabel ist und die Kosten oder sogar den Gewinn zurückbringt There is also a 10% chance of making a profit, breaking even, or even earning.

这 是 他 的 第一个 决策 this|is|he|attributive marker|first|decision This is his first decision.

第二个 果断 离场 走 人 second|decisively|leave the scene|walk|person Der zweite verlässt das Feld entscheidend The second decisive exit.

割肉 离场 走 人 cut meat|leave the venue|walk|person Cutting losses and leaving.

离场 走人 你 这 100 万 可能 就 没有 了 对 吧 leave the venue|walk away|you|this|1 million|possibly|just|not have|emphasis marker|right|tag question marker If you leave now, you might lose this 1 million, right?

也 可能 亏 50 万 也 可能 亏 100 万 就 没有 了 also|possibly|lose|500000|also|possibly|lose|1000000|then|nothing|emphasis marker It is also possible to lose 500,000, or it is also possible to lose 1,000,000, and then there will be nothing left.

好 很多 人 会 选择 第一种 good|many|people|will|choose|the first option Well, many people will choose the first option.

因为 它 觉得 呀 我 不能 亏钱 because|it|feel|emphasis marker|I|cannot|lose money Because they feel, I cannot lose money.

我 至少 要 卖 我 也 得 卖 到 本钱 我 不能 亏 追加 投资 I|at least|want|sell|I|also|have to|sell|to|cost|I|cannot|lose|additional|investment Ich muss zumindest verkaufen, ich muss an die Hauptstadt verkaufen, ich kann keine zusätzlichen Investitionen verlieren At the very least, I have to sell, and I must sell at cost; I cannot afford to lose additional investments.

结果 越亏 越多越 亏越 多 最后 倾家荡产 |the more lost||the more you lose|||lose everything Je mehr Sie verlieren, desto mehr verlieren Sie, desto mehr verlieren Sie. The more you lose, the more you lose, and in the end, you go bankrupt.

我们 该 怎么 办 we|should|how|do What should we do?

遇到 这种 问题 我们 应该 这么 想 encounter|this kind of|problem|we|should|this way|think When faced with such problems, we should think this way.

你 没有 花钱 你 直接 就 持有 你 是 免费 的 You didn't spend money; you directly hold it for free.

你 是 免费 持有 100 万 B股 你 是 免费 持有 的 you|are|free|hold|1 million|B shares|you|are|free|hold|attributive marker You hold 1 million B shares for free.

现在 你 知道 这支 股票 经营 不善 now|you|know|this|stock|operate|poorly Now you know that this stock is poorly managed.

跟 它 同 类型 的 股票 价格 又 低 而且 这个 公司 还 好 with|it|same|type|attributive marker|stock|price|again|low|and|this|company|still|good Stocks of the same type are also low in price, and this company is doing well.

我 问 你 你 要 不要 换 I|ask|you|you|want|not want|change I ask you, do you want to switch?

或者说 你 觉得 我 应该 有 一些 钱 来 生活 了 or say|you|think|I|should|have|some|money|to|live|emphasis marker Or should I say, you think I should have some money to live on.

那 你 要 不要 从 这个 免费 的 股票 里 拿 出来 that|you|want|not want|from|this|free|attributive marker|stock|inside|take|out Then, do you want to take some out from this free stock?

然后 供 你 去 生活 我 想 大部分 人 都 会 的 then|provide|you|to|live|I|think|most|people|all|will|attributive marker Und lass dich leben. Ich denke, die meisten Leute werden es tun. And then provide for your living, I think most people would.

就 因为 这个 钱 是 我们 买 进去 的 just|because|this|money|is|we|buy|in|attributive marker Just because this money is what we bought in.

所以 我们 才 舍不得 割肉 so|we|only|reluctant to part with|cut meat So we are reluctant to cut our losses.

但是 从 经济学 上 讲 这 是 不 理性 的 but|from|economics|on|speak|this|is|not|rational|attributive marker However, from an economic perspective, this is irrational.

我们 发现 无论 是 考试 爱情 还是 股票 we|discover|no matter|is|exam|love|or|stocks Wir haben festgestellt, ob es sich um Testliebe oder Aktien handelt We find that whether it is exams, love, or stocks,

其实 都 有 这样 的 一个 问题 actually|all|have|such|attributive marker|one|problem there is actually such a problem.

给 大家 的 建议 就是 不会 做 的 题 就要 跳过 give|everyone|attributive marker|advice|is|cannot|do|attributive marker|questions|must|skip The advice I have for everyone is to skip the questions you can't solve.

不能 爱 的 人 就要 分手 不能 赚钱 的 股票 就要 割肉 cannot|love|attributive marker|person|must|break up|cannot|make money|attributive marker|stocks|must|cut losses Wer nicht lieben kann, muss Aktien auflösen, die kein Geld verdienen können If you can't love someone, you should break up; if a stock can't make money, you should cut your losses.

只有 这样 才能 做 一个 理性 的 人 only|this way|can|be|one|rational|attributive marker|person Only in this way can you be a rational person.

其实 在 生活 中 还有 很多 类似 的 例子 actually|in|life|in|there are still|many|similar|attributive marker|examples In fact, there are many similar examples in life.

比如说 电信 诈骗 他 最 开始 的 时候 可能 只 让 你 投资 一部分 for example|telecommunications|fraud|he|most|beginning|attributive marker|time|possibly|only|let|you|invest|a part For example, in telecom fraud, at the very beginning, they might only ask you to invest a small amount.

投资 了 1 万块 investment|past tense marker|10000 yuan You invested 10,000 yuan.

然后 你 发觉 被骗 了 然后 你 跟 他 说 我 要 拿回 这 1 万块 then|you|realize|be cheated|emphasis marker|then|you|with|him|say|I|want|get back|this|10000 yuan Then you realize you've been scammed, and you tell them, 'I want to get back this 10,000 yuan.'

人家 说 可以 你 再 投 1 万 我 2 万 都 还给 你 others|say|can|you|again|invest|10000|I|20000|all|return|you They say, 'Sure, if you invest another 10,000, I will return both 20,000 to you.'

你 就 又 投 了 1 万 you|just|again|invest|past tense marker|10000 You just invested another 10,000.

他人 说 了 说 你 需要 再 投 1 万 我 才能 把 3 万 还给 你 others|said|past tense marker|that|you|need|again|invest|10000|I|can|to|30000|return to|you Others said that you need to invest another 10,000 before I can return the 30,000 to you.

这样一来 你 就 越来越 多 越来越 多 As a result, you will have more and more.

你 要 明白 在 这种 情况下 你 之前 被 骗 的钱 已经 沉没 了 you|need|understand|in|this kind of|situation|you|before|by|cheated|money|already|sunk|emphasis marker You need to understand that in this situation, the money you were cheated out of before is already sunk.

你 不要 指望 骗子 大发 良心 给 你 you|do not|expect|liar|have a big|conscience|to|you Erwarten Sie nicht, dass ein Lügner Ihnen sein Gewissen zeigt Don't expect a liar to have a sudden change of heart for you.

它 是 利用 沉没 成本 这种 心理 的 套路 来 套路 你 it|is|using|sunk|cost|this kind of|psychological|attributive marker|trick|to|deceive|you It is a tactic that exploits the psychology of sunk cost to manipulate you.

你 会 越 亏 越 多 的 You will end up losing more and more.

还有 传销 也 是 这样 你 进入 了 一个 传销 组织 之后 also|pyramid scheme|also|is|this way|you|enter|past tense marker|one|pyramid scheme|organization|after Also, this is how pyramid schemes work; once you enter a pyramid scheme organization...

他 跟 你 说 你 已经 花 了 这么 多 钱 了 he|with|you|say|you|already|spend|emphasis marker|so|much|money|emphasis marker He told you that you have already spent so much money.

你 必须 要 在 拉 多少 个人 头 进来 才能 把 这些 钱 还 给 你 you|must|need|in|pull|how many|people|head|in|can|to|these|money|return|to|you You have to bring in how many more people to pay this money back to you.

所以 你 就 越陷越深 越陷越深 |||deeper and deeper| So you are getting deeper and deeper.

这些 都 是 沉没 成本 的 问题 these|all|are|sunk|cost|attributive marker|problem These are all issues of sunk costs.

我们 要 知道 金钱 是 成本 但是 更 重要 的 成本 是 时间 we|need|to know|money|is|cost|but|more|important|attributive marker|cost|is|time We need to know that money is a cost, but the more important cost is time.

我们 每 一个 人 的 每 一 分钟 都 是 非常 宝贵 的 we|every|one|person|attributive marker|every|one|minute|all|is|very|precious|attributive marker Every minute of each one of us is very precious.

而 不要 把 时间 浪费 在 这些 毫无意义 的 情上 |||||||meaningless||emotions Und verschwenden Sie keine Zeit mit dieser bedeutungslosen Liebe And we should not waste time on these meaningless things.

大家 如果 喜欢 我 的视频 everyone|if|like|my|videos If everyone likes my video.

可以 在 西瓜 视频 和 Youtube 帐号 李永乐 老师 里 关注 我 can|at|watermelon|video|and|YouTube|account|Li Yongle|teacher|in|follow|me You can follow me on the watermelon video and YouTube account of Teacher Li Yongle.